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1) Consider the P/E ratio of the market as a whole and of your stock in particular. Most of the time, you can ignore the market and just focus on buying good companies at reasonable prices. But when stock prices get too far ahead of earnings, there’s usually a drop in store. Compare historical P/E ratios with current ratios to get some idea of what’s excessive, but keep in mind that the market will support higher P/E ratios when interest rates are low. “It’s just a big gambling game,” some say.

“The whole thing is rigged.” There may be just enough truth in those statements to convince a few people who haven’t taken the time to study it further. One of the more cynical reasons investors give for avoiding the stock market is to liken it to a casino. 3) It is the only game in town. Outside of investing in commodities futures or trading currency, which are best left to the pros, the stock market is the only widely accessible way to grow your nest egg enough to beat inflation.